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Benchmarks for Success: Database Publishers Move to Grow Online Revenues
   
    11 April 2005
SUMMARY:
 
 
New research from Shore affiliate Russell Perkins on database subscription pricing benchmarks reveals that we've passed the point at which print publications can be considered primary sources for the clients of database publishers. The print subscription revenues from these publications are sagging while online revenues are surging ahead. This parallels the general movement in the content industry towards having to recognize revenues from online content as the primary driver for their businesses. Building revenues and margins in an online environment can be tricky and is oftentimes not the high-margin mass business to which print-derived publishers have become accustomed. Those wanting to maintain high margins in their publishing businesses are going to have to tailor their marketing plans for much more focused efforts.

It's lovely weather out in Scottsdale, Arizona as people arrive for this year's Buying and Selling eContent Conference, gentle breezes and desert air lulling one easily into a sense of well being. The motto of the Camelback Inn where the conference is held is "Where time stands still." There is a definite timelessness to the rugged landscape and peaceful surroundings that reminds one that we sometimes need major benchmarks to remind us how things have actually changed over time. Was it only five years ago that VerticalNet CEO Mark Walsh was proclaiming that the era of print publications was dead at the dais of this same conference - even as the stock price of his B2B publishing portal was melting down with his every word during the "bubble" burst? The remnants of the year 2000's "profitable in a year's time" ideas for content companies have largely disappeared, but that's not to say that the optimism of those earlier players in online content was mistaken: no, they were perhaps just a wee bit off in their timing.

Time has not stood still for the content industry, as quantified in "Database Subscription Pricing Benchmarks," our latest research from Shore affiliate Russell Perkins. Looking at pricing and models from 350 subscription database products offered by 85 different publishers, the report reveals that their online revenues have more than doubled since 2000, while revenues from print products offered by these database publishers have declined nearly 18 percent. In spite of the zeal of some online enthusiasts print has remained a remarkably resilient media, increasingly embraced not only by long-established publishers but as well by content producers from electronic media and marketeers from consumer goods companies. Yet it's clear that in 2005 we have passed a true tipping point: print is no longer the central focus for much of the content industry today. As Russell's report points out, print for the users of database publisher products is now the handy backup reference, the tool that's there when the network is down or you just know how to get to information efficiently in that medium.

Some publishers understand this trend and its implication for legacy revenues and have worked aggressively to focus their revenue models on building an online product that will thrive well into the future. But a remarkable number of publishers fail to get the picture, finding themselves struggling to adapt to an environment in which online business not only drives subscription renewals for a core print product but become the core product itself. Here are a few thoughts about what publishers must confront with sober thoughts and clear eyes when looking at their businesses move through time:

  • High margins for subscription publications are driven by online revenues. Many publishers remain insistent on maintaining traditional margins on their "old world" content products. This is not a bad thing if those margins are used as fuel to drive innovation in presenting content to users and putting in place back-end improvements that can help them to transition to electronic-first advertising and production principles. But Russell's research indicates that in spite of pressure on pricing database publishers are commanding significant premiums for their online publications over print outlets. Everyone wants to have nice bonuses and a comfortable retirement, but the money in subscriptions is moving to those publishers that can produce high-value content services highly tuned to online user needs as their primary revenue vehicle, with print a useful adjunct. For publishers more tied to text publications the lessons to be learned from database publishers should be studied carefully. 
  • Looking for new markets for new products to drive up margins is not an option for most. It's a "bull market" for new content companies, with scrappy entrepreneurs pushing to come up with marketable content in new markets and venues neglected or ignored by traditional publishers.  But few established publishers can afford to make such radical bets on their future without risking major upheavals or margin declines. Instead, as suggested by Patricia Joseph's latest report, finding diamonds in the rough of their existing databases, infrastructure and in alternative markets for existing content products may be the best way out of the margin dilemma for many publishers. The efficiencies required to produce content effectively in this online era seem to be a mindset problem as much as anything else these days, with some die-hard publishers still resembling rumbling old steel mills churning out product with low efficiency while new online "micro-mills" focus in on producing highly effective content tailored to just-in-time content needs.
  • Consider how you position your enterprise subscription packages. An early workshop at the conference here in Scottdale emphasized the traditional arts of negotiating pricing based on per-seat or per-user subscription models. This has long been a rubbing point for institutions, who prefer blanket pricing that does not reflect the specific number of users. But as Russell's research points out with fewer centralized purchasers of content there's a devolving of purchasing towards individuals and business units more able to measure the direct impact of content purchases on revenues and costs. "Big kill" subscription contracts are not going away, but it's becoming more important for publishers servicing enterprises to build margins through services highly tailored to the needs of specific groups within the enterprise who understand their value propositions more clearly than central purchasers - and who are empowered increasingly to make key purchases. Distribution agreements with aggregators that assumed mass usage would be the key to enterprise revenues may have to be questioned carefully as the aggregators themselves must more to more focused strategies.

Time doesn't stand still, of course - we just wish that it would at times when things are very comfortable and pleasant. Publishers who wish to keep moving in time are thriving, according to Russell's research, so there's all the motivation that one could ask for to do so. I'm looking forward to enjoying the desert air and the stillness of a place that changes so little over time, but for the most part I'll be focusing on the words of content industry leaders at this conference who must face the fast-moving hands of time upon our return.

- John Blossom

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