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Link to John Blossom: Team Member Profile    
Riding the Long Tail: Libraries Confront the World of Infinite Content Supply and Demand
   
    27 June 2005
SUMMARY:
 
 
Chris Anderson, Editor in Chief of Wired Magazine, unleashed a global debate with an article last December on "The Long Tail," the huge portion of content that's thought to be of residual value to companies catering to mass audiences but turning out to be both powerful and profitable to a wide range of audiences. Companies like Google and Amazon prove out this model every day on the web, but so do corporate librarians who focus increasingly on the bulk of content in their own organizations beyond the reach of commercial services. The future for librarians serving local communities can be found in looking at both online and corporate models for tips as to how to manage the content that matters most to highly contextual audiences.

If you made it through high school math you probably remember your old friend the exponential curve. Looking like a water slide from a parent's worst nightmare exponential curves have a lot of drama, emphasizing the soaring highs of the mathematical formulas used to create them and then shooting down precipitously to the "long tail" of the curve, that flat, dangly part trailing off into horizontal insignificance. But focusing on the tall part of an exponential curve can be misleading. If you line up your vertical and horizontal axes just so under a "garden variety" exponential curve and chop it right up the middle of its vertical ascent you notice a funny thing: there's just as much area under the "long tail" portion of the curve as there is in the tall part. Tall it may be, but there's more drama in the height of an exponential curve than there is substance.

Chris Anderson, Editor in Chief of Wired Magazine, noted in an article last December that this phenomenon seemed to have great relevance for media companies and other content purveyors. When a popular book on exploring Mount Everest being sold on Amazon.com had recommendations based on audience feedback to try an older book on the perils of mountain climbing the almost-out-of-print recommended book started to soar in sales and for a time doubled the sales of the newer book. The infinite online bookshelves of Amazon allowed them to expose the "long tail" of seemingly unpopular content that could become relevant and highly saleable in an instant if it could be placed in the right context, much as eBay finds a market for the most arcane of doo-dads. Chris noted that this phenomenon was seemingly widespread for the content industry as sector after sector discovers that there's lots of money to be made in providing valuable context for "long tail" content.

Several months and a book deal later [book developing on his weblog] Chris finds himself at the forefront of a quiet but growing "long tail" revolution. Publishers and managers of content collections are generating their own long tail of discussion about how content out of the spotlight may be becoming more valuable than highly touted media sources in an era of infinite supply and highly contextual demand.  The recent OCLC Symposium in Chicago on "the long tail" at this year's ALA Conference engaged about 370 librarians and vendors with a stimulating panel that included Chris, myself, Nancy Davenport, President, Council on Library and Information Resources (CLIR) and Chuck Richard, Vice President and Lead Analyst at Outsell. Chris' presentation demonstrated how "the long tail" is probably going to produce more profits than high-visibility media in the years ahead as it fattens up with obscure and "obsolete" materials, while the rest of the panel weaved the story of "the long tail" into a greater context for library services. There was far too much excellent material presented by this panel to capture here, so for now a few small thoughts as to what the panel flushed out:

  • We kind of knew this, but now we really have to know. As I noted in a news analysis last April the economics of content became untethered some time ago from manufacturing models. But the realization sinking in to the minds of librarians and other content collection managers is  how pervasive the effect of "the long tail" is for professionals needing to get their arms around content purchases. Library collections have always balanced the popular and the obscure, but popularity tends to win the battle of the budget. If content value in an infinite online collection is mostly about audience-driven context established through search engines, portals and online stores, then the value of libraries spending lavishly on huge quantities of popular content in anticipation of very contextual demand becomes highly debatable. This has profound implications for budgeting, facilities, staffing and collection management.
  • Focus on the finite. The good news about "the long tail" is that it is likely to free up librarians to do what they do best - manage finite collections of content with high levels of expertise while leaving to others the managing of massively popular content and specialized collections beyond their focus. Rather than focusing on easily reproduced content available commercially in electronic formats librarians can focus on obtaining and preserving truly rare content that is most important to their local patrons' needs. The rest can be "borrowed" or licensed on a far more global level with lots of contextualization from local librarians and community enthusiasts to enhance its local value.
  • Focus on local content creation and preservation. If community librarians are worrying about what they'll do in the "long tail"-driven vision of collection management they need look no further than their corporate brethren to understand where their skills will be best applied. Corporate information professionals now focus at least as much on integrating a company's own content as they do on external commercial sources, with very powerful results for those organizations. Community librarians need to look at their own communities as sources of content and content services much more actively and encourage content production and generation. Where's the history of your local Web sites stored? Who, as Nancy Davenport pointed out, is creating online archives of local histories? Who is teaching local patrons how to publish online in ways that make their content most useful? Who will benefit locally when someone needs a print-on-demand publication or wants to purchase a book on loan? The "long tail" needs to get fatter wherever content services reside to gain maximum benefit for focused audiences.

For those approaching the challenges of "the long tail" there should be comfort in knowing that most communities desperately require their services to help stimulate their vitality and competitiveness in new ways. Libraries have always been highly valued resources, but never more than now as the need to apply their skills to a broad and long tail of local content production and consumption becomes apparent. It may look like a steep drop down the curve to that long tail, but think of the speed that you'll have once you're riding it.

- John Blossom

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